2015 Keeper Analysis

There is a lot of anxiety being felt by the league’s teams right now. Who and who not to keep is currently the question. Teams will be looking to avoid joining the Keeper Hall of Shame which is currently occupied by the likes of Marcedes Lewis, Monte Ball, RG3, and Nick Foles. As the keeper deadline approaches for the 2016 season, here is a look back at last year’s keepers:

Keeper by team (sorted by reverse draft order)

Hasan A Record: 9-4
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Odell Beckham, NYG WR 16.8 19.5 2.7
A.J. Green, CIN WR 15.6 16.4 0.8
Carlos Hyde, SF RB 14.8 6.0 -8.8
Andre Ellington, ARI RB 13.9 5.0 -8.9

Grade: B

Hasan took a risk with his third and fourth keepers, but they didn’t pan out. It didn’t matter. He drafted extremely well and that led him to the BMuz championship. His best move was to draft Andre Ellington’s handcuff, David Johnson.

Omar A Record: 9-4
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Tom Brady, NE QB 19.1 28.6 9.5
Matt Forte, CHI RB 18.2 14.8 -3.4

Grade: A

Oak proved us wrong. He made the right call with TB12. While Forte regressed a bit, he was still a very serviceable RB worthy of a second keeper slot.

Shahzad Record: 10-3
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Antonio Brown, PIT WR 18.8 23.0 4.3
Adrian Peterson, MIN RB 19 19.3 0.3
Aaron Rodgers, GB QB 27.1 24.3 -2.8
Jeremy Hill, CIN RB 16.8 12.9 -3.9

Grade: B+

It’s hard to get dinged when you’re keeping Antonio Brown, AP, and ARod. Unfortunately for Shahzad he kept Jeremy Hill over Calvin Johnson, Allen Robinson, or Keenan Allen.

Sultan/Areeb Record: 9-4
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Dez Bryant, DAL WR 17 5.2 -11.8
Le’Veon Bell, PIT RB 18.3 7.6 -10.7
Ben Roethlisberger, PIT QB 23.9 19.8 -4.1

Grade: C

Big Ben was a stud, but Sultan and Areeb’s top two keepers were duds due to injuries. Luckily for them they were able to flip these assets midseason to a couple of tanking teams in return for a haul consisting of Julio Jones, Demaryius Thomas, Jeremy Maclin, and Frank Gore.

Ahsan Record: 7-6
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Randall Cobb, GB WR 15.3 11.8 -3.5
Jamaal Charles, KC RB 19.4 6.8 -12.6
C.J. Anderson, DEN RB 18.5 9.9 -8.6

Grade: C+

Same as above. Ace’s keepers all underperformed. It didn’t matter because he flipped them early on in return for Mike Evans and Brandin Cooks.

Ayman Record: 6-7
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Jordy Nelson, GB WR 16.3 0.0 -16.3
Emmanuel Sanders, DEN WR 13.7 13.4 -0.3

Grade: C

Ayman went WR heavy this year. He traded away early draft picks to get his hands on a WR1 and WR2. Then Jordy Nelson went down before the season even started. Tough break.

Ebad Record: 7-6
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Calvin Johnson, DET WR 16.5 15.4 -1.1
Russell Wilson, SEA QB 24.5 28.0 3.5
Kelvin Benjamin, CAR WR IR IR IR

Grade: B-

Ebad worked the trade market to land Megatron, Russell Wilson, and Kelvin Benjamin. Unfortunately, like Jordy, Kelvin also went down before the regular season leaving his team with a huge hole to fill.

Haris Record: 7-6
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Lamar Miller, MIA RB 15.9 15.8 -0.1
Giovani Bernard, CIN RB 12.3 11.7 -0.6

Grade: B+

Keeping Lamar Miller was a risk, but one that paid off last season and will likely pay off in 2016 as well. Gio Bernard was probably not worth a second keeper slot, but he performed…in line…with expectations and provided a consistent 10 points per week.

Muaz/Umer Record: 7-6
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
No keepers

Grade: A

Muaz/Umer made the right choice to not keep any player and converted their high draft picks into a solid core of keepers for 2016 (Cam, Ingram, and Keenan Allen).

Sakib Record: 7-6
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
LeSean McCoy, BUF RB 17.4 12.6 -4.8
DeAndre Hopkins, HOU WR 13.3 19.5 6.2
Joseph Randle, DAL RB 13.3 5.4 -7.9

Grade: B+

Sakib was active on the trade market prior to the draft. He flipped perennial keeper, Jordy Nelson, for the #1 pick (Andrew Luck). He also bet on DeAndre Hopkins and got a WR1 in return. Great moves. Unfortunately, his third keeper became a serial underwear thief in 2015.

Uzair Record: 6-7
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Alfred Morris, WAS RB 15.5 7.4 -8.1

Grade: F

Rather than start with a clean slate, Uzair decided to keep Alf who was on the decline and had a hot rookie RB (Matt Jones) breathing down his neck.

Aasim Record: 4-9
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Marshawn Lynch, SEA RB 18.9 6.0 -12.9
Peyton Manning, DEN QB 25.3 7.7 -17.6
T.Y. Hilton, IND WR 15 12.6 -2.4

Grade: C-

Aasim kept his top two keepers a year too long. Both Marshawn and Peyton had injury-riddled 2015s which led to their retirements. TY Hilton also underperformed, likely due to Andrew Luck’s injury, leaving Aasim with a mess of a team in 2015.

Haroon Record: 6-7
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Rob Gronkowski, NE TE 13.9 15.8 1.9
Drew Brees, NO QB 25.5 26.4 0.9

Grade: A-

Haroon kept his two studs and nothing more. They both performed above expectations for him until…well, you know what happened.

Imad Record: 6-7      
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Sammy Watkins, BUF WR 12.5 13.6 1.1
Mike Evans, TB WR 14.2 12.2 -2.0
Tre Mason, STL RB 7.9 3.1 -4.8

Grade: F

Tre Mason for 5th and 7th round picks. Nuff said.

Omar U Record: 4-9
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Jimmy Graham, SEA TE 11.1 6.7 -4.4
Julio Jones, ATL WR 16.9 21.5 4.6
Eddie Lacy, GB RB 19.7 10.2 -9.5
DeMarco Murray, PHI RB 16.6 12.3 -4.3

Grade: C+

Julio was Julio, DeMarco was upset, Jimmy was hurt, and Lacy was fat. Usmani went 1 for 4 with his keepers and that all but ended his quest for a three peat.

Qasim Record: 3-10
Keeper Position 2015 Projected PPG 2015 Actual PPG Delta
Demaryius Thomas, DEN WR 17.4 14.9 -2.5
Jordan Matthews, PHI WR 12.8 13.2 0.4
Frank Gore, IND RB 14.8 13.7 -1.1
Tony Romo, DAL QB 23.3 3.7 -19.6

Grade: B-

Qasim’s allegiance to Tony Romo hurt him significantly this year. However, his top three keepers performed as expected.

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